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Red56
531221.3
1056517.4
648319.1
Blue85
959323.3
683222.5
440129.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61562040801005685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
46Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
56Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#27
21.30.8
16.715.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
blue by 8.5
4401
#28
29.81.8
19.921.7
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
Second
6483
#23
19.10.8
16.115.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 4.2
9593
#12
23.31.1
16.817.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
Third
17.40.4
17.417.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
blue by 5.1
6832
#17
22.51.8
16.818.7
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed