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Red18
473515.9
648319.1
Blue103
570514.8
435529.6
440065.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48124010015018103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+79
Endgame+85
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +59
2Coral scored#15
8Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
12Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#6
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points0
18Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6483
#23
19.13.2
15.212.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 46.1
65.30.3
56.757.0
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
Second
4735
#24
15.91.9
18.116.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 13.7
4355
#11
29.60.3
29.329.6
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Third
8.93.2
13.310.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 5.9
5705
#29
14.80.3
12.813.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed