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Red97
440343.8
670235.0
912014.7
Blue54
768715.9
460320.8
855813.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102510204060801201401609754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+17Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
45Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
26Foul points0
97Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.81.3
41.540.1
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
red by 23.0
4603
#10
20.80.1
14.114.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Second
35.01.3
31.830.5
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
red by 19.1
7687
#18
15.90.1
17.617.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Third
9120
#13
14.72.2
12.210.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.3
red by 1.4
8558
#34
13.20.1
15.515.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed