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Red85
754627.4
440129.8
921318.1
Blue65
683222.5
68964.5
829020.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766420401001208565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
70Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
85Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#28
29.81.1
24.926.0
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
red by 7.3
6832
#17
22.50.8
19.819.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Second
7546
#14
27.40.7
23.824.5
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
red by 6.7
8290
#31
20.70.5
20.419.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
9213
#36
18.11.1
11.112.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 13.6
6896
#42
4.50.8
12.812.0
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed