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Red59
76698.2
703715.8
951329.7
Blue83
477521.8
810524.0
757725.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6376020401001205983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
33Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
59Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.1
22.122.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End6.3
red by 4.4
7577
#16
25.41.7
16.518.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
Second
7037
#15
15.80.2
16.817.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 8.1
24.01.0
23.224.2
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Third
7669
#37
8.20.2
12.612.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End0.3
blue by 13.6
4775
#21
21.81.0
20.221.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed