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Red143
435529.6
571641.4
829315.4
Blue63
826619.2
473515.9
619916.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10045020608012014016014363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+60Endgame
+80Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points30
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
90Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#14
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
20Foul points0
143Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.41.7
34.836.5
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
red by 22.3
8266
#20
19.20.7
19.118.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Second
4355
#11
29.61.7
29.631.3
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
red by 13.5
6199
#26DQ
16.10.7
10.59.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
8293
#32
15.42.9
14.917.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 0.5
4735
#24
15.90.4
16.215.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed