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Red64
648319.1
906015.7
570514.8
Blue44
1056517.4
829117.0
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49710204060801001206444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
48Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points2
64Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6483
#23
19.10.8
12.012.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
red by 1.7
17.42.3
21.319.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Second
9060
#30
15.70.8
14.415.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 1.3
8291
#25
17.02.3
20.318.0
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End0.7
Third
5705
#29
14.80.5
13.113.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 5.9
8.92.3
10.17.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed