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Red108
620014.2
949914.6
440065.3
Blue52
531221.3
765320.7
701817.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106305010015010852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
69Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#3
3L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
108Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.31.0
57.058.0
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 44.0
5312
#27
21.31.0
19.018.0
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
Second
9499
#41
14.61.6
11.713.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 6.1
7653
#35
20.71.0
17.716.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
Third
6200
#33
14.21.6
16.818.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 3.2
7018
#38
17.41.0
15.414.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed