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Red71
959323.3
921318.1
930128.0
Blue81
855813.2
670235.0
754627.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628220401001201407181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points37
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
0Processor points18
12Net points8
12Algae points26
43Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
71Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.9
23.424.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
blue by 7.0
35.00.5
30.531.0
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Second
9593
#12
23.30.9
19.220.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
blue by 4.1
7546
#14
27.40.5
24.524.9
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Third
9213
#36
18.11.5
12.213.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 4.9
8558
#34
13.20.8
15.616.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed