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Red86
757725.4
683222.5
587416.3
Blue36
76698.2
912014.7
768715.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755002040601001208636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#5
40Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
50Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
20Foul points6
86Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7577
#16
25.40.4
18.217.8
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
red by 9.5
7687
#18
15.92.3
17.715.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Second
6832
#17
22.50.4
19.018.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 7.8
9120
#13
14.72.3
10.07.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Third
5874
#19
16.30.4
20.319.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 8.1
7669
#37
8.22.3
12.810.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed