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Red4
617018.3
619916.1
68964.5
Blue59
829020.7
810524.0
460320.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4769020406080100120459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+51
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
0Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +33
1Coral scored#8
2Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
2Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
1Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
4Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6170
#22
18.32.6
20.517.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End0.8
blue by 5.7
24.00.0
24.224.3
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Second
6199
#26
16.14.3
9.85.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 4.7
4603
#10
20.80.0
14.214.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
6896
#42
4.54.3
12.07.7
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
blue by 16.2
8290
#31
20.70.0
19.920.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed