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Red99
617018.3
768715.9
552625.7
Blue68
826619.2
571641.4
68964.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678102004006008009968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+11
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
45Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
42Foul points0
99Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.0
22.621.6
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 15.7
41.40.5
33.032.5
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
6170
#22
18.30.8
19.118.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End0.8
blue by 0.9
8266
#20
19.20.8
18.818.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Third
7687
#18
15.91.0
19.218.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
red by 11.4
6896
#42
4.50.8
17.116.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned