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Red21
829020.7
619916.1
949914.6
Blue77
855813.2
440343.8
703715.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549001001502177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
14Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
21Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8290
#31
20.72.6
20.918.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2
blue by 23.1
43.80.1
41.841.9
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Second
6199
#26
16.13.5
14.611.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 0.3
7037
#15
15.80.1
16.817.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Third
9499
#41
14.63.5
17.113.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
red by 1.4
8558
#34
13.20.1
17.317.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned