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Red91
435529.6
473515.9
1056517.4
Blue129
913443.8
949914.6
765320.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7874406010012091129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+52
Endgame+44
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#18
34Coral points64
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
12Processor points24
16Net points20
28Algae points44
62Total teleop108
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points0
91Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#11
29.60.0
31.331.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 14.2
43.83.0
33.836.8
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
Second
17.40.1
19.018.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
blue by 3.3
7653
#35
20.75.0
16.721.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
Third
4735
#24
15.90.0
15.815.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 1.3
9499
#41
14.65.0
13.318.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed