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Red94
571641.4
531221.3
440065.3
Blue85
701817.4
477521.8
440343.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14086501001502009485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
64Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
14Foul points8
94Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.32.5
58.055.5
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 21.5
43.80.3
40.139.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Second
41.42.5
36.534.0
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
red by 19.6
4775
#21
21.80.3
21.220.9
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Third
5312
#27
21.34.2
18.013.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 3.8
7018
#38
17.40.5
14.413.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed