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Red36
810524.0
768715.9
587416.3
Blue31
826619.2
855813.2
570514.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795202040601001201403631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
+7Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
3Coral scored#5
9Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
13Total teleop23
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points2
36Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.7
24.322.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
red by 4.8
8266
#20
19.22.1
16.514.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Second
5874
#19
16.32.9
19.917.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 1.5
5705
#29
14.81.3
12.211.0
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
7687
#18
15.92.9
15.412.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
red by 2.6
8558
#34
13.22.1
16.514.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed