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Red87
826619.2
587416.3
670235.0
Blue92
648319.1
829020.7
757725.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions856802040601001201401608792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
12Processor points18
8Net points8
20Algae points26
66Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points0
87Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.4
32.832.4
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
red by 9.6
7577
#16
25.41.9
21.723.6
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
Second
8266
#20
19.20.7
14.313.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
blue by 1.5
8290
#31
20.71.1
21.222.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2
Third
5874
#19
16.30.7
17.016.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
blue by 2.8
6483
#23
19.11.9
10.412.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed