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Red68
440129.8
829315.4
617018.3
Blue128
912014.7
440065.3
906015.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610705015020068128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+62
Endgame+72
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#19
28Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
46Total teleop88
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#6
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
12Foul points0
68Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#28
29.82.4
24.922.5
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
blue by 35.5
65.32.0
57.559.5
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
Second
6170
#22
18.31.4
19.117.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End0.8
red by 2.6
9060
#30
15.73.4
14.718.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
8293
#32
15.42.4
19.116.7
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
red by 0.7
9120
#13
14.73.4
11.615.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned