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Red68
703715.8
754627.4
477521.8
Blue53
949914.6
570514.8
829117.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7657020401001201406853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
58Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
68Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#14
27.40.5
25.826.4
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
red by 10.4
8291
#25
17.00.7
17.318.1
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End0.7
Second
4775
#21
21.80.5
19.219.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 7.1
5705
#29
14.80.4
11.011.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
7037
#15
15.80.9
14.815.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 1.2
9499
#41
14.60.7
18.018.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed