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Red79
683222.5
754627.4
829315.4
Blue111
435529.6
930128.0
810524.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6798020408012014016079111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
64Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points14
79Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#14
27.40.8
26.427.2
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
blue by 2.2
4355
#11
29.60.9
31.332.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Second
6832
#17
22.51.4
20.922.2
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
blue by 5.5
28.00.9
26.727.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Third
8293
#32
15.41.4
16.718.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 8.6
24.00.9
22.523.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned