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Red87
757725.4
855813.2
765320.7
Blue128
552625.7
571641.4
701817.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70962040608012014016087128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
72Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points2
87Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7577
#16
25.40.5
23.623.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
blue by 16.1
41.41.3
36.137.4
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
7653
#35
20.70.5
19.118.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
blue by 5.0
25.72.1
21.123.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Third
8558
#34
13.20.5
15.415.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 4.2
7018
#38
17.42.1
16.218.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned