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Red78
768715.9
913443.8
Blue102
951329.7
440129.8
619916.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7375405060809010011078102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
62Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points8
78Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.0
39.339.2
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
red by 14.0
4401
#28
29.81.7
22.524.3
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
Second
7687
#18
15.90.1
12.512.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 13.8
29.71.0
25.126.1
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Third
8.90.1
8.88.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 7.2
6199
#26
16.11.7
9.711.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned