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Red98
921318.1
1056517.4
826619.2
Blue146
440065.3
76698.2
440343.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41133010015020098146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+72
Endgame+60
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +44
11Coral scored#19
41Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
61Total teleop105
Reef
3L4#12
5L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
12Foul points0
98Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8266
#20
19.22.8
13.616.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
blue by 46.1
65.31.3
59.560.8
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
Second
9213
#36
18.12.8
14.016.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 25.7
43.81.3
40.441.7
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Third
17.42.8
13.316.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
red by 9.2
7669
#37
8.22.2
7.39.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed