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Red20
68964.5
473515.9
570514.8
Blue73
531221.3
460320.8
703715.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4265020801001202073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
12Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points2
20Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4735
#24
15.91.1
18.317.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 5.3
5312
#27
21.32.1
17.119.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
Second
5705
#29
14.81.1
11.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 6.1
4603
#10
20.81.3
18.920.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
6896
#42
4.51.8
6.85.0
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
blue by 11.4
7037
#15
15.82.1
15.717.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned