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Red72
765320.7
810524.0
754627.4
Blue111
670235.0
552625.7
648319.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82845060709010011012072111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+45
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
6Processor points24
4Net points16
10Algae points40
44Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
72Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#14
27.40.2
27.227.4
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
blue by 7.6
35.02.5
32.034.5
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Second
24.00.2
23.423.6
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
blue by 1.7
25.73.9
23.227.1
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Third
7653
#35
20.70.3
18.719.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
red by 1.6
6483
#23
19.13.9
12.015.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed