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Red94
570514.8
930128.0
531221.3
Blue59
619916.1
757725.4
921318.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7777506070901001109459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
54Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
94Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.3
27.628.8
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
red by 2.6
7577
#16
25.40.2
23.223.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
Second
5312
#27
21.32.0
19.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 3.1
9213
#36
18.10.2
16.716.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Third
5705
#29
14.81.3
10.311.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 1.4
6199
#26
16.10.2
11.411.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed