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Red110
460320.8
440065.3
959323.3
Blue14
703715.8
68964.5
949914.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1192905010015020011014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+84Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +63
13Coral scored#2
45Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
69Total teleop6
Reef
7L4#1
6L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
110Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.5
60.861.3
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 49.4
7037
#15
15.82.7
17.915.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Second
9593
#12
23.30.5
21.121.6
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
red by 8.7
9499
#41
14.62.7
17.114.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
4603
#10
20.80.5
20.220.7
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
red by 16.3
6896
#42
4.52.7
5.02.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed