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Red74
855813.2
477521.8
913443.8
Blue54
648319.1
810524.0
683222.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84660501001507454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
56Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
74Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.3
39.639.3
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
red by 19.8
24.00.6
23.623.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Second
4775
#21
21.80.3
19.218.9
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
blue by 0.7
6832
#17
22.50.8
22.922.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
8558
#34
13.20.5
14.113.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 5.9
6483
#23
19.10.8
15.915.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed