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Red84
765320.7
617018.3
Blue141
587416.3
440343.8
440129.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6311205010015084141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
11Coral scored#19
39Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
71Total teleop109
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#6
1L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
84Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7653
#35
20.70.9
19.019.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
blue by 23.1
43.81.9
41.443.4
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Second
6170
#22
18.30.6
17.718.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End0.8
blue by 11.5
4401
#28
29.82.8
24.727.5
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
Third
8.90.9
8.39.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 7.4
5874
#19
16.32.8
13.916.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned