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Red56
829117.0
76698.2
754627.4
Blue44
473515.9
701817.4
912014.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696001001502002503005644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
6Coral scored#3
23Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
37Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
4Foul points14
56Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#14
27.40.1
27.427.2
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
red by 10.0
7018
#38
17.41.9
18.716.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Second
8291
#25
17.00.2
16.716.5
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End0.7
red by 1.0
4735
#24
15.91.3
16.615.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
7669
#37
8.20.2
10.09.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End0.3
blue by 6.5
9120
#13
14.71.9
14.012.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed