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Red129
571641.4
619916.1
570514.8
Blue91
68964.5
959323.3
757725.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80610204010012014016012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
95Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
129Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.42.9
37.940.8
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
red by 16.1
7577
#16
25.41.7
23.425.1
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
Second
6199
#26
16.14.2
11.715.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 7.2
9593
#12
23.31.2
21.622.8
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
Third
5705
#29
14.82.9
11.614.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 10.3
6896
#42
4.51.7
2.34.0
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed