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Red76
460320.8
670235.0
435529.6
Blue106
703715.8
440065.3
552625.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411640608014016018076106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points25
12Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
50Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
76Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.8
34.533.8
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
blue by 30.3
65.30.2
61.361.5
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
Second
4355
#11
29.60.8
32.631.8
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
red by 3.9
25.70.2
27.127.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Third
4603
#10
20.80.8
20.719.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
red by 5.0
7037
#15
15.80.2
15.215.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed