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Red64
949914.6
906015.7
531221.3
Blue90
930128.0
826619.2
768715.9
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58712040801006490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
49Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#7
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points8
64Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#27
21.30.0
21.221.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
blue by 6.7
28.00.6
28.829.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Second
9060
#30
15.70.0
15.916.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 3.5
8266
#20
19.20.9
15.916.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Third
9499
#41
14.60.0
14.414.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 1.3
7687
#18
15.90.9
13.214.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned