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Red103
440343.8
648319.1
765320.7
Blue106
810524.0
913443.8
912014.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions918350100150103106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points21
23Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +17
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
52Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#3
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
12Foul points0
103Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.6
43.444.0
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Level
43.81.9
39.341.2
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
Second
7653
#35
20.70.9
19.820.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End2.7
blue by 3.3
24.01.9
23.125.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Third
6483
#23
19.10.9
15.116.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
red by 4.4
9120
#13
14.72.6
12.114.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned