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Red143
473515.9
440129.8
477521.8
Blue60
921318.1
587416.3
855813.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866820406010012014016014360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+83Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points25
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
80Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
50Foul points0
143Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#28
29.81.2
27.528.7
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
red by 11.7
9213
#36
18.10.4
18.518.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End3.0
Second
4775
#21
21.80.9
18.919.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 5.5
5874
#19
16.30.4
16.716.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
4735
#24
15.90.9
15.316.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 2.7
8558
#34
13.20.4
13.613.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed