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Red51
829117.0
68964.5
701817.4
Blue67
619916.1
829315.4
959323.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507602040601001201401605167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
41Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
51Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7018
#38
17.40.5
16.917.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 5.9
9593
#12
23.30.2
22.823.0
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
Second
8291
#25
17.00.5
16.517.0
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End0.7
red by 0.9
6199
#26
16.10.3
15.816.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
6896
#42
4.50.5
4.04.5
Auto1.0
Teleop2.5
End0.9
blue by 10.9
8293
#32
15.40.3
16.416.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed