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Red65
552625.7
930128.0
829020.7
Blue120
440065.3
951329.7
768715.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011520406010014016018065120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+53
Endgame+61
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points24
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
28Total teleop66
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points0
65Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.3
29.428.2
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
blue by 37.3
65.31.2
61.562.7
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
Second
25.71.7
27.425.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 4.0
29.71.2
26.527.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Third
8290
#31
20.71.3
21.119.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2
red by 4.9
7687
#18
15.91.7
14.215.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned