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Red76
683222.5
703715.8
670235.0
Blue63
906015.7
571641.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8085506070901001101201307663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
60Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
76Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
33.834.1
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
blue by 6.5
41.40.2
40.840.6
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
6832
#17
22.50.4
22.122.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 6.8
9060
#30
15.70.3
16.015.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Third
7037
#15
15.80.4
15.415.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End1.5
red by 7.0
8.90.3
9.18.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed