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Red80
757725.4
531221.3
826619.2
Blue76
754627.4
949914.6
1056517.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85770501001502002508076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
52Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
80Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7577
#16
25.40.1
25.125.0
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
blue by 2.0
7546
#14
27.40.1
27.227.4
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Second
5312
#27
21.30.1
21.321.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 3.8
17.40.2
16.116.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Third
8266
#20
19.20.1
16.816.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
red by 4.6
9499
#41
14.60.2
14.414.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed