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Red65
531221.3
552625.7
754627.4
Blue57
930128.0
440343.8
473515.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791002040601201401606557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points25
13Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
46Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
65Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7546
#14
27.40.2
27.327.1
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
blue by 16.4
43.80.7
44.543.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Second
25.70.2
25.625.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 2.3
28.00.7
28.728.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Third
5312
#27
21.30.2
21.220.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2
red by 5.3
4735
#24
15.90.7
16.715.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0