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Red184
913443.8
648319.1
440065.3
Blue142
951329.7
826619.2
477521.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14665050100200250184142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+56Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
36Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#17
92Coral points60
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
12Processor points24
28Net points16
40Algae points40
132Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#8
11L3#6
9L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
184Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.31.0
63.364.3
Auto18.9
Teleop39.9
End6.5
red by 35.5
29.71.1
27.929.0
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Second
43.81.0
41.942.8
Auto7.4
Teleop34.2
End2.2
red by 22.0
4775
#21
21.81.1
19.921.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Third
6483
#23
19.11.2
16.717.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 0.1
8266
#20
19.21.4
16.918.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3