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Red74
829315.4
810524.0
435529.6
Blue90
930128.0
440343.8
473515.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741002040601201407490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
47Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +16
12Foul points6
74Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#11
29.60.2
29.829.6
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 14.2
43.80.1
44.244.1
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Second
24.00.2
24.124.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
blue by 4.0
28.00.1
28.428.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Third
8293
#32
15.40.2
15.615.4
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 0.5
4735
#24
15.90.1
16.416.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0