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Red82
959323.3
757725.4
570514.8
Blue108
531221.3
552625.7
754627.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788820406010012014016082108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
63Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
82Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7577
#16
25.40.1
25.425.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
blue by 2.0
7546
#14
27.40.4
26.727.0
Auto2.7
Teleop22.7
End2.0
Second
9593
#12
23.30.1
23.423.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.1
End1.3
blue by 2.4
25.70.4
24.825.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Third
5705
#29
14.80.1
14.814.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 6.5
5312
#27
21.30.4
20.320.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.2