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Red111
930128.0
440343.8
473515.9
Blue118
571641.4
440129.8
829020.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911790100120130140150111118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
19Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
74Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +7
2Foul points6
111Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.80.2
44.044.2
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
red by 2.3
41.40.2
40.640.8
Auto4.6
Teleop31.2
End5.6
Second
28.00.2
28.228.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
blue by 1.8
4401
#28
29.80.3
28.729.0
Auto3.8
Teleop23.6
End2.4
Third
4735
#24
15.90.2
16.216.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 4.8
8290
#31
20.70.2
19.920.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End2.2