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Red50
829315.4
810524.0
435529.6
Blue117
460320.8
1056517.4
670235.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8384506070809010011050117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+53
Endgame+55
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
42Total teleop85
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points12
50Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#11
29.60.8
30.729.8
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 5.3
35.00.4
34.134.4
Auto4.7
Teleop28.2
End2.1
Second
24.00.8
25.024.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.3
End5.6
red by 3.2
4603
#10
20.80.4
19.920.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
8293
#32
15.41.0
16.615.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.9
blue by 2.0
17.40.5
16.316.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.8
End3.3