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Red117
477521.8
826619.2
951329.7
Blue120
930128.0
440343.8
473515.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80107204060100120140160117120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +11
19Coral scored#16
69Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
89Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#6
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
117Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.70.7
29.029.7
Auto5.0
Teleop18.4
End6.3
blue by 14.1
43.80.4
44.144.5
Auto8.5
Teleop28.7
End6.6
Second
4775
#21
21.80.7
21.121.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.0
blue by 6.2
28.00.4
28.328.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End7.3
Third
8266
#20
19.20.9
18.319.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End5.3
red by 3.2
4735
#24
15.90.4
16.316.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End2.0