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Qual 12025 FNC District UNC Asheville Event
Red46
976213.7
1024811.3
373727.3
Blue102
1030415.7
842937.2
153339.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55860204010012014016046102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+54
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +40
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
24Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points12
46Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#8
27.31.8
24.6→22.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End8.4
blue by 12.3
1533
#4
39.60.4
32.7→33.1
Auto9.7
Teleop23.1
End6.8
Second
9762
#10
13.71.1
11.1→10.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 23.6
8429
#2
37.20.4
25.3→25.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Third
10248
#19
11.32.1
13.9→16.0
Auto1.8
Teleop9.4
End0.1
blue by 4.5
10304
#18
15.71.3
17.2→18.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned