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Red64
663926.9
350629.9
122521.3
Blue17
960514.1
672914.0
493514.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80662040601001206417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+43Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#2
34Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
46Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
64Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#13
29.90.6
32.932.3
Auto4.6
Teleop21.0
End4.3
red by 15.5
4935
#16
14.34.7
19.414.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Second
26.90.3
19.419.0
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
red by 12.8
9605
#21
14.12.8
16.213.4
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
Third
21.30.3
16.816.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.8
End1.3
red by 7.4
6729
#20
14.04.7
23.518.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed