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Red119
272423.6
886638.5
949671.2
Blue79
1058317.8
915024.2
572733.3
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216105010015020011979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points1
33Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +3
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
70Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
12Foul points0
119Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.20.1
55.555.3
Auto17.4
Teleop48.7
End5.2
red by 37.9
5727
#12
33.31.5
24.726.3
Auto8.6
Teleop22.6
End2.1
Second
38.50.1
32.932.7
Auto4.8
Teleop33.0
End0.7
red by 14.2
9150
#22
24.20.9
20.121.0
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End1.0
Third
23.631.6
49.217.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End1.5
red by 5.8
17.87.2
26.519.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed