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Red27
319621.4
693220.6
960514.1
Blue69
900830.5
872742.9
663926.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6286020401001201402769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points8
27Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#17
21.44.1
26.422.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.7
End1.6
blue by 21.4
42.91.3
32.731.3
Auto7.5
Teleop34.3
End1.1
Second
6932
#15
20.64.1
17.713.6
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End4.9
blue by 9.8
9008
#14
30.52.2
24.021.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.2
End2.6
Third
9605
#21
14.12.4
13.411.0
Auto1.8
Teleop11.4
End0.9
blue by 12.8
26.91.3
19.017.7
Auto4.5
Teleop20.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed